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Leones del Norte vs Aucas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProFri, 17 Apr 2026

Leones del Norte

Fri, 17 Apr 202623:00

0 : 1

Live

Aucas

Pre-match win probability

29.2%Leones del Norte30.2%Draw40.6%Aucas

Our prediction

Aucas

Aucas is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence40.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leones del Norte 29.2%
  • Draw 30.2%
  • Aucas 40.6%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · highlighted side is stronger

Leones del NorteAucas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.3% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X45.6%
X254.4%

Match result

Leones del Norte3.2
Draw3.1
Aucas2.3

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

Leones del Norte

Chance29.2%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance30.2%
Odds3.1

Aucas

Chance40.6%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Aucas at 2.3

Leones del NorteAucas
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

Leones del Norte vs Aucas: prediction & preview

Ecuador · Liga Pro · Fri, 17 Apr 2026

Leones del Norte meet Aucas in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 17 April 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aucas at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leones del Norte vs Aucas FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leones del Norte vs Aucas?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 17 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leones del Norte vs Aucas?

Aucas is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Leones del Norte vs Aucas prediction, H2H and stats