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Leones del Norte vs Independiente del Valle Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProSat, 22 Aug 2026

Leones del Norte

8th in table · 39 pts

LDLLW

Sat, 22 Aug 202601:00

2 : 3

Full time

Independiente del Valle

1st in table · 74 pts

DWWLD

Pre-match win probability

19.7%Leones del Norte26%Draw54.2%Independiente del Valle

Our prediction

Away · Leones del Norte

Leones del Norte vs Independiente del Valle listed tip from the board.

Odds1.73
Confidence54.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leones del Norte 19.7%
  • Draw 26%
  • Independiente del Valle 54.2%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Leones del NorteIndependiente del Valle
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.2
Wins
1024
Played
3030

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Leones del Norte3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 25 OctLeones del Norte4 – 1LibertadW
  • 18 OctLeones del Norte1 – 3EmelecL
  • 9 OctLibertad3 – 0Leones del NorteL
  • 19 SeptGuayaquil City FC1 – 1Leones del NorteD
  • 13 SeptLeones del Norte0 – 1Tecnico UniversitarioL
Independiente del Valle4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 23 OctIndependiente del Valle0 – 0Universidad CatolicaD
  • 17 OctMacara1 – 0Independiente del ValleL
  • 10 OctIndependiente del Valle2 – 1AucasW
  • 25 SeptGualaceo SC0 – 2Independiente del ValleW
  • 18 SeptFlamengo1 – 1Independiente del ValleD
H2H
Head to headLeones del Norte 0W · 0D · Independiente del Valle 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 25 AprIndependiente del Valle2 – 1Leones del Norte

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X35.2%
X264.8%

Match result

Leones del Norte4.75
Draw3.6
Independiente del Valle1.73

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance35.2%
Odds2.15

X2

Chance64.8%
Odds1.17

Leones del Norte

Chance19.7%
Odds4.75

Draw

Chance26%
Odds3.6

Independiente del Valle

Chance54.2%
Odds1.73

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.73

Leones del NorteIndependiente del Valle
Recent form42%58%
Attack46%54%
Defence49%51%
Goals model46%54%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall27%73%

Trends

Trend · Liga Pro

Leones del Norte scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga Pro

Leones del Norte conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga Pro

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Liga Pro

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Leones del Norte vs Independiente del Valle: prediction & preview

Ecuador · Liga Pro · Sat, 22 Aug 2026

Leones del Norte meet Independiente del Valle in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 22 August 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente del Valle at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leones del Norte vs Independiente del Valle FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leones del Norte vs Independiente del Valle?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 22 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leones del Norte vs Independiente del Valle?

Independiente del Valle is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.