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Leones del Norte vs Libertad Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProSat, 28 Feb 2026

Leones del Norte

D

Sat, 28 Feb 202620:00

1 : 1

Full time

Libertad

W

Pre-match win probability

43.4%Leones del Norte28.5%Draw28.1%Libertad

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Leones del Norte

Leones del Norte vs Libertad listed tip from the board.

Odds1.62
Confidence43.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leones del Norte 43.4%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Libertad 28.1%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · highlighted side is stronger

Leones del NorteLibertad

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.4% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.2% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X55.5%
X244.5%

Match result

Leones del Norte2.1
Draw3.2
Libertad3.25

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance55.5%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance44.5%
Odds1.62

Leones del Norte

Chance43.4%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.2

Libertad

Chance28.1%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.62

Leones del NorteLibertad
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall61%39%

Leones del Norte vs Libertad: prediction & preview

Ecuador · Liga Pro · Sat, 28 Feb 2026

Leones del Norte meet Libertad in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 28 February 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leones del Norte at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leones del Norte vs Libertad FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leones del Norte vs Libertad?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 28 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leones del Norte vs Libertad?

Leones del Norte is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Leones del Norte vs Libertad prediction, H2H and stats