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Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXSat, 18 Oct 2025

Leones Negros UDG

Sat, 18 Oct 202503:00

0 : 1

Full time

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Pre-match win probability

66.1%Leones Negros UDG20.3%Draw13.6%Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Our prediction

Leones Negros UDG

Leones Negros UDG is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.4
Confidence66.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leones Negros UDG 66.1%
  • Draw 20.3%
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 13.6%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · highlighted side is stronger

Leones Negros UDGAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.021.7% · 13.9
1.5 goals20.6% · 1.124.8% · 4.8
2.5 goals15.7% · 1.479.8% · 2.35
3.5 goals10.2% · 2.2714.7% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes55.1%
No44.9%

Double chance

1X71.8%
X228.2%

Match result

Leones Negros UDG1.4
Draw4.55
Alebrijes de Oaxaca6.83

Both teams to score

Yes55.1% · 1.67
No44.9% · 2.05

1X

Chance71.8%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance28.2%
Odds2.73

Leones Negros UDG

Chance66.1%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance20.3%
Odds4.55

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Chance13.6%
Odds6.83

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Leones Negros UDG at 1.4

Leones Negros UDGAlebrijes de Oaxaca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall83%17%

Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sat, 18 Oct 2025

Leones Negros UDG meet Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 18 October 2025 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leones Negros UDG at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.47, about 61.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 18 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Leones Negros UDG is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.47 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca prediction, H2H and stats