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Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXSun, 13 Sept 2026

Leones Negros UDG

WDWWL

Sun, 13 Sept 202619:00

2 : 2

Full time

CA La Paz

WWDWW

Pre-match win probability

43.5%Leones Negros UDG25.3%Draw31.2%CA La Paz

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Leones Negros UDG

Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence43.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leones Negros UDG 43.5%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • CA La Paz 31.2%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · highlighted side is stronger

Leones Negros UDGCA La Paz

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals62.5% · 1.537.5% · 2.5

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Leones Negros UDG2.15
Draw3.7
CA La Paz3

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.57

Leones Negros UDG

Chance43.5%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.7

CA La Paz

Chance31.2%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.57

Leones Negros UDGCA La Paz
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

Leones Negros UDG meet CA La Paz in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leones Negros UDG at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 13 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz?

Leones Negros UDG is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz prediction, H2H and stats