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Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXSun, 5 Apr 2026

Leones Negros UDG

Sun, 5 Apr 202602:00

2 : 0

Full time

Monarcas

Pre-match win probability

35.9%Leones Negros UDG29.9%Draw34.2%Monarcas

Our prediction

Leones Negros UDG

Leones Negros UDG is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.5
Confidence35.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leones Negros UDG 35.9%
  • Draw 29.9%
  • Monarcas 34.2%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · highlighted side is stronger

Leones Negros UDGMonarcas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals51.3% · 1.8548.7% · 1.95

Double chance

1X48.6%
X251.4%

Match result

Leones Negros UDG2.5
Draw3
Monarcas2.62

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance48.6%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance51.4%
Odds1.36

Leones Negros UDG

Chance35.9%
Odds2.5

Draw

Chance29.9%
Odds3

Monarcas

Chance34.2%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Leones Negros UDG at 2.5

Leones Negros UDGMonarcas
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sun, 5 Apr 2026

Leones Negros UDG meet Monarcas in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 5 April 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leones Negros UDG at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 5 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas?

Leones Negros UDG is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas prediction, H2H and stats