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Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXSun, 15 Feb 2026

Leones Negros UDG

Sun, 15 Feb 202619:00

0 : 0

Full time

Tepatitlán

Pre-match win probability

35.5%Leones Negros UDG25.8%Draw38.7%Tepatitlán

Our prediction

Tepatitlán

Tepatitlán is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence38.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leones Negros UDG 35.5%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Tepatitlán 38.7%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · highlighted side is stronger

Leones Negros UDGTepatitlán

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals51.3% · 1.8548.7% · 1.95

Double chance

1X48.5%
X251.5%

Match result

Leones Negros UDG2.62
Draw3.6
Tepatitlán2.4

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance48.5%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance51.5%
Odds1.44

Leones Negros UDG

Chance35.5%
Odds2.62

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.6

Tepatitlán

Chance38.7%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Tepatitlán at 2.4

Leones Negros UDGTepatitlán
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall48%52%

Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sun, 15 Feb 2026

Leones Negros UDG meet Tepatitlán in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 15 February 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tepatitlán at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán FAQs

4 questions

What time is Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 15 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán?

Tepatitlán is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán prediction, H2H and stats