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Lexington vs Louisville City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSat, 7 Mar 2026

Lexington

WWWDL

Sat, 7 Mar 202601:30

1 : 2

Full time

Louisville City

WWLDW

Pre-match win probability

30.3%Lexington29.3%Draw40.4%Louisville City

Our prediction

Draw · Lexington

Lexington vs Louisville City listed tip from the board.

Odds3.1
Confidence40.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lexington 30.3%
  • Draw 29.3%
  • Louisville City 40.4%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

LexingtonLouisville City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.8% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X45.9%
X254.1%

Match result

Lexington3
Draw3.1
Louisville City2.25

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance45.9%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance54.1%
Odds1.3

Lexington

Chance30.3%
Odds3

Draw

Chance29.3%
Odds3.1

Louisville City

Chance40.4%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.1

LexingtonLouisville City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall43%57%

Lexington vs Louisville City: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sat, 7 Mar 2026

Lexington meet Louisville City in the USA, USL Championship on 7 March 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Louisville City at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lexington vs Louisville City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lexington vs Louisville City?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 7 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lexington vs Louisville City?

Louisville City is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lexington vs Louisville City prediction, H2H and stats