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Lexington vs Monterey Bay Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSat, 9 May 2026

Lexington

4th in table · 48 pts

WWDWD

Sat, 9 May 202600:30

3 : 1

Full time

Monterey Bay

12th in table · 24 pts

LWLLW

Pre-match win probability

58.5%Lexington23.6%Draw17.9%Monterey Bay

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Lexington

Lexington vs Monterey Bay listed tip from the board.

Odds1.11
Confidence58.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lexington 58.5%
  • Draw 23.6%
  • Monterey Bay 17.9%

Season statistics

USL Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LexingtonMonterey Bay
Goals scored (avg)
2.71.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.6
Wins
146
Played
3030

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lexington5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctPhoenix Rising3 – 3LexingtonD
  • 18 OctLas Vegas Lights3 – 5LexingtonW
  • 10 OctLexington0 – 0FC TulsaD
  • 4 OctLexington3 – 1El Paso LocomotiveW
  • 27 SeptMonterey Bay2 – 3LexingtonW
Monterey Bay2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctMonterey Bay2 – 1Las Vegas LightsW
  • 18 OctMonterey Bay0 – 1Colorado SpringsL
  • 11 OctNew Mexico United3 – 1Monterey BayL
  • 4 OctOrange County SC1 – 2Monterey BayW
  • 27 SeptMonterey Bay2 – 3LexingtonL
H2H
Head to headLexington 2W · 1D · Monterey Bay 1W · 3.3 goals a game
  • 27 SeptMonterey Bay2 – 3Lexington
  • 2 AugLexington3 – 2Monterey Bay
  • 8 JunMonterey Bay2 – 1Lexington
  • 20 AprLexington0 – 0Monterey Bay

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13% · 1.811.7% · 2
3.5 goals7.8% · 317.2% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X67%
X233%

Match result

Lexington1.53
Draw3.8
Monterey Bay5

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance67%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance33%
Odds2.25

Lexington

Chance58.5%
Odds1.53

Draw

Chance23.6%
Odds3.8

Monterey Bay

Chance17.9%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.11

LexingtonMonterey Bay
Recent form65%35%
Attack71%29%
Defence50%50%
Goals model71%29%
Head-to-head63%37%
Overall77%23%

Trends

Trend · USL Championship

Lexington scored 2.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Lexington conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · USL Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Lexington vs Monterey Bay: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sat, 9 May 2026

Lexington meet Monterey Bay in the USA, USL Championship on 9 May 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lexington at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lexington vs Monterey Bay FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lexington vs Monterey Bay?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 9 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lexington vs Monterey Bay?

Lexington is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.