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Lexington vs New Mexico United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipThu, 16 Jul 2026

Lexington

LWDWD

Thu, 16 Jul 202600:00

1 : 4

Full time

New Mexico United

WWDWD

Pre-match win probability

57%Lexington22.8%Draw20.3%New Mexico United

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Lexington

Lexington vs New Mexico United listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence57%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lexington 57%
  • Draw 22.8%
  • New Mexico United 20.3%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

LexingtonNew Mexico United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.012% · 12
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13% · 1.811.7% · 2
3.5 goals7.8% · 317.2% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X65.7%
X234.3%

Match result

Lexington1.6
Draw4
New Mexico United4.5

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance65.7%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance34.3%
Odds2.15

Lexington

Chance57%
Odds1.6

Draw

Chance22.8%
Odds4

New Mexico United

Chance20.3%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.12

LexingtonNew Mexico United
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall74%26%

Lexington vs New Mexico United: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Thu, 16 Jul 2026

Lexington meet New Mexico United in the USA, USL Championship on 16 July 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lexington at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lexington vs New Mexico United FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lexington vs New Mexico United?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 16 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lexington vs New Mexico United?

Lexington is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 57%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lexington vs New Mexico United prediction, H2H and stats