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Lexington vs Orange County SC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 20 Sept 2026

Lexington

4th in table · 48 pts

WWDWD

Sun, 20 Sept 202600:00

6 : 0

Full time

Orange County SC

9th in table · 39 pts

WLLLL

Pre-match win probability

58.5%Lexington23.6%Draw17.9%Orange County SC

Our prediction

1X · Lexington

Lexington vs Orange County SC listed tip from the board.

Odds1.11
Confidence58.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lexington 58.5%
  • Draw 23.6%
  • Orange County SC 17.9%

Season statistics

USL Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LexingtonOrange County SC
Goals scored (avg)
2.30.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.82
Wins
1410
Played
3030

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lexington4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 25 OctPhoenix Rising3 – 3LexingtonD
  • 18 OctLas Vegas Lights3 – 5LexingtonW
  • 10 OctLexington0 – 0FC TulsaD
  • 4 OctLexington3 – 1El Paso LocomotiveW
  • 27 SeptMonterey Bay2 – 3LexingtonW
Orange County SC1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 25 OctSan Antonio2 – 1Orange County SCL
  • 18 OctOrange County SC1 – 3Phoenix RisingL
  • 11 OctEl Paso Locomotive2 – 1Orange County SCL
  • 4 OctOrange County SC1 – 2Monterey BayL
  • 27 SeptOrange County SC1 – 0Pittsburgh RiverhoundsW
H2H
Head to headLexington 0W · 3D · Orange County SC 0W · 2 goals a game
  • 19 AprOrange County SC0 – 0Lexington
  • 12 SeptLexington1 – 1Orange County SC
  • 16 MarOrange County SC2 – 2Lexington

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14% · 1.6710.9% · 2.15
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X67%
X233%

Match result

Lexington1.53
Draw3.8
Orange County SC5

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance67%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance33%
Odds2.25

Lexington

Chance58.5%
Odds1.53

Draw

Chance23.6%
Odds3.8

Orange County SC

Chance17.9%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.11

LexingtonOrange County SC
Recent form74%26%
Attack72%28%
Defence55%45%
Goals model72%28%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall77%23%

Trends

Trend · USL Championship

Lexington scored 2.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · USL Championship

Lexington conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · USL Championship

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · USL Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Lexington vs Orange County SC: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Lexington meet Orange County SC in the USA, USL Championship on 20 September 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 6–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lexington at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lexington vs Orange County SC FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lexington vs Orange County SC?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lexington vs Orange County SC?

Lexington is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.