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Lexington vs Phoenix Rising Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 9 Aug 2026

Lexington

WDWLL

Sun, 9 Aug 202600:00

1 : 0

Full time

Phoenix Rising

DDWLL

Pre-match win probability

51.3%Lexington25.6%Draw23.1%Phoenix Rising

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Lexington

Lexington vs Phoenix Rising listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence51.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lexington 51.3%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • Phoenix Rising 23.1%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

LexingtonPhoenix Rising

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14% · 1.6710.9% · 2.15
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X61%
X239%

Match result

Lexington1.8
Draw3.6
Phoenix Rising4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance61%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance39%
Odds1.91

Lexington

Chance51.3%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance25.6%
Odds3.6

Phoenix Rising

Chance23.1%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.22

LexingtonPhoenix Rising
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall69%31%

Lexington vs Phoenix Rising: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 9 Aug 2026

Lexington meet Phoenix Rising in the USA, USL Championship on 9 August 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lexington at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lexington vs Phoenix Rising FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lexington vs Phoenix Rising?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 9 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lexington vs Phoenix Rising?

Lexington is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lexington vs Phoenix Rising prediction, H2H and stats