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Lexington vs Sacramento Republic Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipFri, 17 Oct 2025

Lexington

Fri, 17 Oct 202523:00

2 : 1

Live

Sacramento Republic

Pre-match win probability

37.4%Lexington29.5%Draw33.1%Sacramento Republic

Our prediction

Draw · Lexington

Lexington vs Sacramento Republic listed tip from the board.

Odds3.12
Confidence37.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lexington 37.4%
  • Draw 29.5%
  • Sacramento Republic 33.1%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

LexingtonSacramento Republic

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.033.1% · 7.4
1.5 goals17.1% · 1.338% · 2.83
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.0913.6% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.5818.8% · 1.21

Both teams to score

Yes50.9%
No49.1%

Double chance

1X51.6%
X248.4%

Match result

Lexington2.46
Draw3.12
Sacramento Republic2.78

Both teams to score

Yes50.9% · 1.81
No49.1% · 1.88

1X

Chance51.6%
Odds1.38

X2

Chance48.4%
Odds1.47

Lexington

Chance37.4%
Odds2.46

Draw

Chance29.5%
Odds3.12

Sacramento Republic

Chance33.1%
Odds2.78

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.12

LexingtonSacramento Republic
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall53%47%

Lexington vs Sacramento Republic: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Fri, 17 Oct 2025

Lexington meet Sacramento Republic in the USA, USL Championship on 17 October 2025 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lexington at 2.46. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 55.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.81.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lexington vs Sacramento Republic FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lexington vs Sacramento Republic?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 17 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lexington vs Sacramento Republic?

Lexington is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.46. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.09 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.81. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lexington vs Sacramento Republic prediction, H2H and stats