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Lexington vs Sacramento Republic Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 15 Mar 2026

Lexington

LWWWD

Sun, 15 Mar 202600:00

0 : 0

Full time

Sacramento Republic

WLD

Pre-match win probability

35.9%Lexington29.9%Draw34.2%Sacramento Republic

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Lexington

Lexington vs Sacramento Republic listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence35.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lexington 35.9%
  • Draw 29.9%
  • Sacramento Republic 34.2%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

LexingtonSacramento Republic

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.062.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.2% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X50.7%
X249.3%

Match result

Lexington2.5
Draw3
Sacramento Republic2.62

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance50.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance49.3%
Odds1.44

Lexington

Chance35.9%
Odds2.5

Draw

Chance29.9%
Odds3

Sacramento Republic

Chance34.2%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.44

LexingtonSacramento Republic
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Lexington vs Sacramento Republic: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 15 Mar 2026

Lexington meet Sacramento Republic in the USA, USL Championship on 15 March 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lexington at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lexington vs Sacramento Republic FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lexington vs Sacramento Republic?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 15 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lexington vs Sacramento Republic?

Lexington is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lexington vs Sacramento Republic prediction, H2H and stats