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Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL Super LeagueSat, 18 Apr 2026

Lexington W

1st in table · 53 pts

WDLWD

Sat, 18 Apr 202622:00

4 : 0

Full time

Tampa Bay Sun W

8th in table · 24 pts

DDLLL

Pre-match win probability

57%Lexington W24.2%Draw18.8%Tampa Bay Sun W

Our prediction

Lexington W

Lexington W is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.57
Confidence57%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lexington W 57%
  • Draw 24.2%
  • Tampa Bay Sun W 18.8%

Season statistics

USL Super League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Lexington WTampa Bay Sun W
Goals scored (avg)
1.81
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.5
Wins
145
Played
2828

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lexington W5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 24 OctLexington W3 – 3Sporting JAX WD
  • 18 OctLexington W2 – 1Tampa Bay Sun WW
  • 12 OctFort Lauderdale United W2 – 1Lexington WL
  • 4 OctTampa Bay Sun W1 – 1Lexington WD
  • 26 SeptLexington W3 – 0Dallas Trinity WW
Tampa Bay Sun W2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 24 OctBrooklyn W1 – 0Tampa Bay Sun WL
  • 18 OctLexington W2 – 1Tampa Bay Sun WL
  • 10 OctTampa Bay Sun W0 – 3Carolina Ascent WL
  • 4 OctTampa Bay Sun W1 – 1Lexington WD
  • 19 SeptDC Power W1 – 1Tampa Bay Sun WD
H2H
Head to headLexington W 2W · 2D · Tampa Bay Sun W 4W · 3.1 goals a game
  • 18 OctLexington W2 – 1Tampa Bay Sun W
  • 4 OctTampa Bay Sun W1 – 1Lexington W
  • 16 MayLexington W1 – 0Tampa Bay Sun W
  • 23 NovTampa Bay Sun W1 – 1Lexington W
  • 11 MayLexington W0 – 3Tampa Bay Sun W
  • 13 AprTampa Bay Sun W4 – 1Lexington W

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals17.6% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0513.4% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.3% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X67%
X233%

Match result

Lexington W1.57
Draw3.7
Tampa Bay Sun W4.75

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance67%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance33%
Odds2.25

Lexington W

Chance57%
Odds1.57

Draw

Chance24.2%
Odds3.7

Tampa Bay Sun W

Chance18.8%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Lexington W at 1.57

Lexington WTampa Bay Sun W
Recent form65%35%
Attack64%36%
Defence56%44%
Goals model64%36%
Head-to-head38%62%
Overall75%25%

Trends

Trend · USL Super League

Lexington W scored 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Super League

Lexington W conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · USL Super League

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · USL Super League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W: prediction & preview

USA · USL Super League · Sat, 18 Apr 2026

Lexington W meet Tampa Bay Sun W in the USA, USL Super League on 18 April 2026 at 22:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lexington W at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?

Kickoff is 22:00 on 18 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W?

Lexington W is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 57%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.