Libertad vs Aucas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProSat, 2 May 2026

Libertad

LLLLD

Sat, 2 May 202601:00

3 : 2

Full time

Aucas

WDWWW

Pre-match win probability

24.8%Libertad27.4%Draw47.8%Aucas

Our prediction

Away · Libertad

Libertad vs Aucas listed tip from the board.

Odds1.95
Confidence47.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Libertad 24.8%
  • Draw 27.4%
  • Aucas 47.8%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · highlighted side is stronger

LibertadAucas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X40.6%
X259.4%

Match result

Libertad3.75
Draw3.4
Aucas1.95

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance40.6%
Odds1.83

X2

Chance59.4%
Odds1.25

Libertad

Chance24.8%
Odds3.75

Draw

Chance27.4%
Odds3.4

Aucas

Chance47.8%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.95

LibertadAucas
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall34%66%

Libertad vs Aucas: prediction & preview

Ecuador · Liga Pro · Sat, 2 May 2026

Libertad meet Aucas in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 2 May 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aucas at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Libertad vs Aucas FAQs

4 questions

What time is Libertad vs Aucas?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 2 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Libertad vs Aucas?

Aucas is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Libertad vs Aucas prediction, H2H and stats