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Libertad vs Independiente del Valle Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProMon, 14 Sept 2026

Libertad

WDLWD

Mon, 14 Sept 202600:00

2 : 3

Full time

Independiente del Valle

LWLDW

Pre-match win probability

23.2%Libertad26.5%Draw50.2%Independiente del Valle

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Libertad

Libertad vs Independiente del Valle listed tip from the board.

Odds1.91
Confidence50.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Libertad 23.2%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • Independiente del Valle 50.2%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · highlighted side is stronger

LibertadIndependiente del Valle

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X39%
X261%

Match result

Libertad4
Draw3.5
Independiente del Valle1.85

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance39%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance61%
Odds1.22

Libertad

Chance23.2%
Odds4

Draw

Chance26.5%
Odds3.5

Independiente del Valle

Chance50.2%
Odds1.85

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.91

LibertadIndependiente del Valle
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall32%68%

Libertad vs Independiente del Valle: prediction & preview

Ecuador · Liga Pro · Mon, 14 Sept 2026

Libertad meet Independiente del Valle in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 14 September 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente del Valle at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Libertad vs Independiente del Valle FAQs

4 questions

What time is Libertad vs Independiente del Valle?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 14 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Libertad vs Independiente del Valle?

Independiente del Valle is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.