Get Premium

Libertad vs Leones del Norte Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProSat, 4 Jul 2026

Libertad

LWLDW

Sat, 4 Jul 202620:00

1 : 3

Full time

Leones del Norte

DLWLW

Pre-match win probability

35.7%Libertad29.9%Draw34.4%Leones del Norte

Our prediction

Draw · Libertad

Libertad vs Leones del Norte listed tip from the board.

Odds3.1
Confidence35.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Libertad 35.7%
  • Draw 29.9%
  • Leones del Norte 34.4%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · highlighted side is stronger

LibertadLeones del Norte

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.3% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X52.2%
X247.8%

Match result

Libertad2.6
Draw3.1
Leones del Norte2.7

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance52.2%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance47.8%
Odds1.53

Libertad

Chance35.7%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance29.9%
Odds3.1

Leones del Norte

Chance34.4%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.1

LibertadLeones del Norte
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Libertad vs Leones del Norte: prediction & preview

Ecuador · Liga Pro · Sat, 4 Jul 2026

Libertad meet Leones del Norte in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 4 July 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Libertad at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Libertad vs Leones del Norte FAQs

4 questions

What time is Libertad vs Leones del Norte?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 4 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Libertad vs Leones del Norte?

Libertad is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Libertad vs Leones del Norte prediction, H2H and stats