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Linfield vs Larne Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Northern-Ireland · PremiershipSat, 11 Apr 2026

Linfield

4th in table · 62 pts

WWDWW

Sat, 11 Apr 202613:00

0 : 2

Full time

Larne

1st in table · 73 pts

WLLWD

Pre-match win probability

41.5%Linfield28.1%Draw30.4%Larne

Our prediction

Linfield

Linfield is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence41.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Linfield 41.5%
  • Draw 28.1%
  • Larne 30.4%

Season statistics

Premiership · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LinfieldLarne
Goals scored (avg)
1.72.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.61
Wins
1822
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Linfield8W 2D 0L in last 10
  • 23 OctPortadown1 – 2LinfieldW
  • 20 OctLarne1 – 2LinfieldW
  • 17 OctCarrick Rangers2 – 2LinfieldD
  • 10 OctLinfield2 – 0BangorW
  • 25 SeptColeraine FC1 – 3LinfieldW
Larne7W 1D 2L in last 10
  • 27 OctLarne1 – 1Limavady UnitedD
  • 24 OctBangor1 – 2LarneW
  • 20 OctLarne1 – 2LinfieldL
  • 16 OctLarne2 – 3Coleraine FCL
  • 10 OctCrusaders FC0 – 3LarneW
H2H
Head to headLinfield 3W · 4D · Larne 2W · 1.4 goals a game
  • 20 OctLarne1 – 2Linfield
  • 24 FebLarne1 – 1Linfield
  • 16 JanLinfield0 – 0Larne
  • 5 DecLarne0 – 0Linfield
  • 18 AprLarne2 – 1Linfield
  • 11 FebLinfield1 – 0Larne

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X49.3%
X250.7%

Match result

Linfield2.2
Draw3.25
Larne3

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance49.3%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50.7%
Odds1.4

Linfield

Chance41.5%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance28.1%
Odds3.25

Larne

Chance30.4%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Linfield at 2.2

LinfieldLarne
Recent form54%46%
Attack45%55%
Defence55%45%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall58%42%

Trends

Trend · Premiership

Linfield scored 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premiership

Linfield conceded 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premiership

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

Trend · Premiership

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 10.

Linfield vs Larne: prediction & preview

Northern-Ireland · Premiership · Sat, 11 Apr 2026

Linfield meet Larne in the Northern-Ireland, Premiership on 11 April 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Linfield at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Linfield vs Larne FAQs

4 questions

What time is Linfield vs Larne?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 11 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Linfield vs Larne?

Linfield is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.