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Lions vs Melbourne City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · Australia CupTue, 11 Aug 2026

Lions

WWDWW

Tue, 11 Aug 202610:30

2 : 0

Full time

Melbourne City

LW

Pre-match win probability

24.7%Lions25.4%Draw49.9%Melbourne City

Our prediction

Home or Away · Lions

Lions vs Melbourne City listed tip from the board.

Odds1.83
Confidence49.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lions 24.7%
  • Draw 25.4%
  • Melbourne City 49.9%

Season statistics

Australia Cup · highlighted side is stronger

LionsMelbourne City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.011.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.711.1% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X32.4%
X267.6%

Match result

Lions3.7
Draw3.6
Melbourne City1.83

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance32.4%
Odds2.38

X2

Chance67.6%
Odds1.14

Lions

Chance24.7%
Odds3.7

Draw

Chance25.4%
Odds3.6

Melbourne City

Chance49.9%
Odds1.83

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Away at 1.83

LionsMelbourne City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall33%67%

Lions vs Melbourne City: prediction & preview

Australia · Australia Cup · Tue, 11 Aug 2026

Lions meet Melbourne City in the Australia, Australia Cup on 11 August 2026 at 10:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne City at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lions vs Melbourne City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lions vs Melbourne City?

Kickoff is 10:30 on 11 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lions vs Melbourne City?

Melbourne City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lions vs Melbourne City prediction, H2H and stats