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Lions vs Moreton City Excelsior Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · Queensland NPLSat, 9 May 2026

Lions

1st in table · 53 pts

WWLLW

Sat, 9 May 202610:30

2 : 0

Full time

Moreton City Excelsior

3rd in table · 39 pts

LWLWL

Pre-match win probability

44.6%Lions22.9%Draw32.5%Moreton City Excelsior

Our prediction

Away · Lions

Lions vs Moreton City Excelsior listed tip from the board.

Odds2.75
Confidence44.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lions 44.6%
  • Draw 22.9%
  • Moreton City Excelsior 32.5%

Season statistics

Queensland NPL · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LionsMoreton City Excelsior
Goals scored (avg)
2.21.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.7
Wins
1712
Played
2222

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lions8W 0D 2L in last 10
  • 22 OctLions2 – 1Preston LionsW
  • 18 OctLions1 – 2South HobartL
  • 15 SeptSouth Melbourne3 – 1LionsL
  • 12 SeptLions1 – 0Peninsula PowerW
  • 30 AugLions4 – 1Peninsula PowerW
Moreton City Excelsior4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 5 SeptPeninsula Power3 – 2Moreton City ExcelsiorL
  • 29 AugMoreton City Excelsior2 – 0Gold Coast KnightsW
  • 14 AugMoreton City Excelsior0 – 2LionsL
  • 8 AugOlympic1 – 2Moreton City ExcelsiorW
  • 2 AugBrisbane Roar II2 – 0Moreton City ExcelsiorL
H2H
Head to headLions 4W · 1D · Moreton City Excelsior 2W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 14 AugMoreton City Excelsior0 – 2Lions
  • 13 SeptMoreton City Excelsior1 – 2Lions
  • 13 JulLions0 – 0Moreton City Excelsior
  • 5 AprMoreton City Excelsior3 – 1Lions
  • 7 SeptMoreton City Excelsior0 – 1Lions
  • 13 JulLions1 – 2Moreton City Excelsior

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23% · 1.011.9% · 12
1.5 goals21% · 1.113.9% · 6
2.5 goals16.6% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
3.5 goals12.2% · 1.9112.9% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X55.7%
X244.3%

Match result

Lions2
Draw3.9
Moreton City Excelsior2.75

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

Lions

Chance44.6%
Odds2

Draw

Chance22.9%
Odds3.9

Moreton City Excelsior

Chance32.5%
Odds2.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.75

LionsMoreton City Excelsior
Recent form63%37%
Attack58%42%
Defence62%38%
Goals model58%42%
Head-to-head64%36%
Overall58%42%

Trends

Trend · Queensland NPL

Lions scored 2.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Queensland NPL

Lions conceded 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Queensland NPL

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

Trend · Queensland NPL

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 10.

Lions vs Moreton City Excelsior: prediction & preview

Australia · Queensland NPL · Sat, 9 May 2026

Lions meet Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia, Queensland NPL on 9 May 2026 at 10:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lions at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lions vs Moreton City Excelsior FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lions vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Kickoff is 10:30 on 9 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lions vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Lions is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.