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Lithuania vs Azerbaijan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueSun, 27 Sept 2026

Lithuania

2nd in table · 4 pts

DLWWL

Sun, 27 Sept 202614:00

1 : 1

Full time

Azerbaijan

1st in table · 5 pts

Pre-match win probability

42.2%Lithuania32%Draw25.8%Azerbaijan

Our prediction

Lithuania

Lithuania is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.2
Confidence42.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lithuania 42.2%
  • Draw 32%
  • Azerbaijan 25.8%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LithuaniaAzerbaijan
Goals scored (avg)
0.9–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1–
Wins
11
Played
33

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lithuania3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 4 OctAzerbaijan1 – 0LithuaniaL
  • 30 SeptLithuania3 – 0AndorraW
  • 24 SeptLiechtenstein0 – 2LithuaniaW
  • 9 JunEstonia1 – 0LithuaniaL
  • 6 JunLithuania1 – 1LatviaD
Azerbaijan0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headLithuania 0W · 1D · Azerbaijan 1W · 0.5 goals a game
    • 4 OctAzerbaijan1 – 0Lithuania
    • 25 MarAzerbaijan0 – 0Lithuania

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals20.7% · 1.124.2% · 5.5
    1.5 goals14.8% · 1.5710.3% · 2.25
    2.5 goals8.4% · 2.7516.6% · 1.4
    3.5 goals4.2% · 5.520.7% · 1.12

    Both teams to score

    Yes37.5%
    No62.5%

    Double chance

    1X55.9%
    X244.1%

    Match result

    Lithuania2.2
    Draw2.9
    Azerbaijan3.6

    Both teams to score

    Yes37.5% · 2.5
    No62.5% · 1.5

    1X

    Chance55.9%
    Odds1.28

    X2

    Chance44.1%
    Odds1.62

    Lithuania

    Chance42.2%
    Odds2.2

    Draw

    Chance32%
    Odds2.9

    Azerbaijan

    Chance25.8%
    Odds3.6

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Lithuania at 2.2

    LithuaniaAzerbaijan
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack47%53%
    Defence67%33%
    Goals model47%53%
    Head-to-head25%75%
    Overall62%38%

    Trends

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Lithuania scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Lithuania conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

    Lithuania vs Azerbaijan: prediction & preview

    World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 27 Sept 2026

    Lithuania meet Azerbaijan in the World, UEFA Nations League on 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lithuania at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Lithuania vs Azerbaijan FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?

    Kickoff is 14:00 on 27 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?

    Lithuania is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.2%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.75 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.