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Liverpool Montevideo vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL LibertadoresWed, 18 Feb 2026

Liverpool Montevideo

Wed, 18 Feb 202601:30

1 : 2

Full time

Independiente Medellin

Pre-match win probability

37%Liverpool Montevideo30.8%Draw32.1%Independiente Medellin

Our prediction

Liverpool Montevideo

Liverpool Montevideo is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.5
Confidence37%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Liverpool Montevideo 37%
  • Draw 30.8%
  • Independiente Medellin 32.1%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Libertadores · highlighted side is stronger

Liverpool MontevideoIndependiente Medellin

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.6% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.5% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X51.7%
X248.3%

Match result

Liverpool Montevideo2.5
Draw3
Independiente Medellin2.88

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

Liverpool Montevideo

Chance37%
Odds2.5

Draw

Chance30.8%
Odds3

Independiente Medellin

Chance32.1%
Odds2.88

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Liverpool Montevideo at 2.5

Liverpool MontevideoIndependiente Medellin
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall54%46%

Liverpool Montevideo vs Independiente Medellin: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · Wed, 18 Feb 2026

Liverpool Montevideo meet Independiente Medellin in the World, CONMEBOL Libertadores on 18 February 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Liverpool Montevideo at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Liverpool Montevideo vs Independiente Medellin FAQs

4 questions

What time is Liverpool Montevideo vs Independiente Medellin?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 18 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Liverpool Montevideo vs Independiente Medellin?

Liverpool Montevideo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 37%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Liverpool Montevideo vs Independiente Medellin prediction, H2H and stats