Get Premium

Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera División - ClausuraSun, 26 Oct 2025

Liverpool Montevideo

WDWWW

Sun, 26 Oct 202520:00

3 : 1

Full time

Progreso

Pre-match win probability

55.3%Liverpool Montevideo24.9%Draw19.8%Progreso

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Liverpool Montevideo

Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso listed tip from the board.

Odds1.16
Confidence55.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Liverpool Montevideo 55.3%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Progreso 19.8%

Season statistics

Primera División - Clausura · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Liverpool MontevideoProgreso
Goals scored (avg)
1.4–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.7–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Liverpool Montevideo7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 25 OctClub Nacional0 – 1Liverpool MontevideoW
  • 21 OctLiverpool Montevideo1 – 0Cerro LargoW
  • 18 OctLiverpool Montevideo1 – 0PenarolW
  • 10 OctDeportivo Maldonado1 – 1Liverpool MontevideoD
  • 3 OctLiverpool Montevideo3 – 2ProgresoW
Progreso0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.6% · 1.012.6% · 8.8
    1.5 goals18.2% · 1.257% · 3.28
    2.5 goals12.1% · 1.8812.3% · 1.86
    3.5 goals7.4% · 3.0817.8% · 1.28

    Both teams to score

    Yes50.4%
    No49.6%

    Double chance

    1X64.1%
    X235.9%

    Match result

    Liverpool Montevideo1.69
    Draw3.76
    Progreso4.72

    Both teams to score

    Yes50.4% · 1.83
    No49.6% · 1.86

    1X

    Chance64.1%
    Odds1.16

    X2

    Chance35.9%
    Odds2.07

    Liverpool Montevideo

    Chance55.3%
    Odds1.69

    Draw

    Chance24.9%
    Odds3.76

    Progreso

    Chance19.8%
    Odds4.72

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.16

    Liverpool MontevideoProgreso
    Recent form96%4%
    Attack58%42%
    Defence70%30%
    Goals model58%42%
    Overall74%26%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera División - Clausura

    Liverpool Montevideo scored 1.4 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División - Clausura

    Liverpool Montevideo conceded 0.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División - Clausura

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Primera División - Clausura

    Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 10.

    Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso: prediction & preview

    Uruguay · Primera División - Clausura · Sun, 26 Oct 2025

    Liverpool Montevideo meet Progreso in the Uruguay, Primera División - Clausura on 26 October 2025 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Liverpool Montevideo at 1.69. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.86, about 50.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso?

    Kickoff is 20:00 on 26 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso?

    Liverpool Montevideo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.69. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.88 and under 2.5 is 1.86.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso prediction, H2H and stats