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Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 3 Oct 2026

Liverpool Montevideo

WWDLW

Sat, 3 Oct 202615:00

3 : 2

Full time

Progreso

WWLLW

Pre-match win probability

54.4%Liverpool Montevideo24.9%Draw20.7%Progreso

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Liverpool Montevideo

Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence54.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Liverpool Montevideo 54.4%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Progreso 20.7%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

Liverpool MontevideoProgreso

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X64%
X236%

Match result

Liverpool Montevideo1.65
Draw3.6
Progreso4.33

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance64%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36%
Odds2.1

Liverpool Montevideo

Chance54.4%
Odds1.65

Draw

Chance24.9%
Odds3.6

Progreso

Chance20.7%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

Liverpool MontevideoProgreso
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall72%28%

Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 3 Oct 2026

Liverpool Montevideo meet Progreso in the Uruguay, Primera División on 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Liverpool Montevideo at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso FAQs

4 questions

What time is Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 3 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso?

Liverpool Montevideo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso prediction, H2H and stats