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Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueWed, 9 Sept 2026

Liverpool

WDDDL

Wed, 9 Sept 202620:00

2 : 1

Full time

Atletico Madrid

LWDWW

Pre-match win probability

54.3%Liverpool23.8%Draw21.9%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Liverpool

Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence54.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Liverpool 54.3%
  • Draw 23.8%
  • Atletico Madrid 21.9%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

LiverpoolAtletico Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.2% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10.3% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X63.5%
X236.5%

Match result

Liverpool1.75
Draw4
Atletico Madrid4.33

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance63.5%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36.5%
Odds2.05

Liverpool

Chance54.3%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance23.8%
Odds4

Atletico Madrid

Chance21.9%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

LiverpoolAtletico Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 9 Sept 2026

Liverpool meet Atletico Madrid in the World, UEFA Champions League on 9 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Liverpool at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 9 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid?

Liverpool is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid prediction, H2H and stats