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Liverpool vs Barnsley Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · FA CupMon, 12 Jan 2026

Liverpool

Mon, 12 Jan 202620:45

4 : 1

Full time

Barnsley

Pre-match win probability

87.5%Liverpool7.9%Draw4.5%Barnsley

Our prediction

Home · Liverpool

Liverpool vs Barnsley listed tip from the board.

Odds1.09
Confidence87.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Liverpool 87.5%
  • Draw 7.9%
  • Barnsley 4.5%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

LiverpoolBarnsley

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.010.8% · 29
1.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
2.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
3.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.8% · 2.2

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X85.5%
X214.5%

Match result

Liverpool1.09
Draw12
Barnsley21

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance85.5%
Odds1.02

X2

Chance14.5%
Odds6

Liverpool

Chance87.5%
Odds1.09

Draw

Chance7.9%
Odds12

Barnsley

Chance4.5%
Odds21

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.09

LiverpoolBarnsley
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall95%5%

Liverpool vs Barnsley: prediction & preview

England · FA Cup · Mon, 12 Jan 2026

Liverpool meet Barnsley in the England, FA Cup on 12 January 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Liverpool at 1.09. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 87.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.25, about 76.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Liverpool vs Barnsley FAQs

4 questions

What time is Liverpool vs Barnsley?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 12 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Liverpool vs Barnsley?

Liverpool is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.09. The margin-adjusted share is about 87.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.25 and under 2.5 is 4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Liverpool vs Barnsley prediction, H2H and stats