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Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · FA CupSat, 14 Feb 2026

Liverpool

Sat, 14 Feb 202621:00

3 : 0

Full time

Brighton

Pre-match win probability

61.3%Liverpool20.8%Draw17.9%Brighton

Our prediction

Liverpool

Liverpool is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.53
Confidence61.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Liverpool 61.3%
  • Draw 20.8%
  • Brighton 17.9%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

LiverpoolBrighton

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Liverpool0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Brighton0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headLiverpool 5W · 1D · Brighton 3W · 3.3 goals a game
      • 25 OctLiverpool2 – 0Brighton
      • 21 MarBrighton2 – 1Liverpool
      • 13 DecLiverpool2 – 0Brighton
      • 19 MayBrighton3 – 2Liverpool
      • 2 NovLiverpool2 – 1Brighton
      • 30 OctBrighton2 – 3Liverpool

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
      1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
      2.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
      3.5 goals11.3% · 2.114.2% · 1.67

      Both teams to score

      Yes58.9%
      No41.1%

      Double chance

      1X67%
      X233%

      Match result

      Liverpool1.53
      Draw4.5
      Brighton5.25

      Both teams to score

      Yes58.9% · 1.57
      No41.1% · 2.25

      1X

      Chance67%
      Odds1.17

      X2

      Chance33%
      Odds2.38

      Liverpool

      Chance61.3%
      Odds1.53

      Draw

      Chance20.8%
      Odds4.5

      Brighton

      Chance17.9%
      Odds5.25

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Liverpool at 1.53

      LiverpoolBrighton
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head61%39%
      Overall77%23%

      Liverpool vs Brighton: prediction & preview

      England · FA Cup · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

      Liverpool meet Brighton in the England, FA Cup on 14 February 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Liverpool at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Liverpool vs Brighton FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Liverpool vs Brighton?

      Kickoff is 21:00 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Liverpool vs Brighton?

      Liverpool is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.3%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.