Get Premium

Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 11 Oct 2026

Liverpool

Sun, 11 Oct 202616:30

0 : 3

Full time

Manchester City

Pre-match win probability

29.8%Liverpool25.8%Draw44.4%Manchester City

Our prediction

Manchester City

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence44.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Liverpool 29.8%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Manchester City 44.4%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

LiverpoolManchester City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X44.9%
X255.1%

Match result

Liverpool3.2
Draw3.7
Manchester City2.15

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

Liverpool

Chance29.8%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.7

Manchester City

Chance44.4%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Manchester City at 2.15

LiverpoolManchester City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall40%60%

Liverpool vs Manchester City: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Liverpool meet Manchester City in the England, Premier League on 11 October 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Liverpool vs Manchester City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Liverpool vs Manchester City?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Liverpool vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.