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Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSat, 31 Jan 2026

Liverpool

WLWDW

Sat, 31 Jan 202621:00

4 : 1

Full time

Newcastle

DLWDL

Pre-match win probability

54.9%Liverpool23.2%Draw21.9%Newcastle

Our prediction

Home · Liverpool

Liverpool vs Newcastle listed tip from the board.

Odds1.73
Confidence54.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Liverpool 54.9%
  • Draw 23.2%
  • Newcastle 21.9%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

LiverpoolNewcastle

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.021.3% · 19
1.5 goals20.9% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.9% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
3.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.3% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X62.5%
X237.5%

Match result

Liverpool1.73
Draw4.1
Newcastle4.33

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance62.5%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance37.5%
Odds2

Liverpool

Chance54.9%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance23.2%
Odds4.1

Newcastle

Chance21.9%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.73

LiverpoolNewcastle
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Liverpool vs Newcastle: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 31 Jan 2026

Liverpool meet Newcastle in the England, Premier League on 31 January 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Liverpool at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Liverpool vs Newcastle FAQs

4 questions

What time is Liverpool vs Newcastle?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 31 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Liverpool vs Newcastle?

Liverpool is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Liverpool vs Newcastle prediction, H2H and stats