Livorno vs Perugia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Livorno

Wed, 4 Mar 202620:30

1 : 2

Full time

Perugia

Pre-match win probability

38.6%Livorno29.6%Draw31.7%Perugia

Our prediction

Livorno

Livorno is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence38.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Livorno 38.6%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Perugia 31.7%

Season statistics

Serie C - Girone B · highlighted side is stronger

LivornoPerugia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X53%
X247%

Match result

Livorno2.3
Draw3
Perugia2.8

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance53%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance47%
Odds1.5

Livorno

Chance38.6%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance29.6%
Odds3

Perugia

Chance31.7%
Odds2.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Livorno at 2.3

LivornoPerugia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall55%45%

Livorno vs Perugia: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie C - Girone B · Wed, 4 Mar 2026

Livorno meet Perugia in the Italy, Serie C - Girone B on 4 March 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Livorno at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Livorno vs Perugia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Livorno vs Perugia?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 4 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Livorno vs Perugia?

Livorno is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Livorno vs Perugia prediction, H2H and stats