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llanelli AFC vs Newport City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · FAW ChampionshipFri, 31 Jul 2026

llanelli AFC

16th in table · 2 pts

Fri, 31 Jul 202619:30

1 : 4

Full time

Newport City

14th in table · 9 pts

DDLWD

Pre-match win probability

35.7%llanelli AFC27.1%Draw37.2%Newport City

Our prediction

Newport City

Newport City is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence37.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • llanelli AFC 35.7%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Newport City 37.2%

Season statistics

FAW Championship · highlighted side is stronger

llanelli AFCNewport City
Goals scored (avg)
–1.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.8
Wins
02
Played
129

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

llanelli AFC0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Newport City2W 3D 4L in last 9
    • 23 OctNewport City4 – 4Pontypridd TownD
    • 17 OctCarmarthen Town4 – 5Newport CityW
    • 9 OctCaerphilly Athletic3 – 2Newport CityL
    • 3 OctCardiff Draconians1 – 1Newport CityD
    • 25 SeptAfan Lido0 – 0Newport CityD
    H2H
    Head to headllanelli AFC 1W · 0D · Newport City 1W · 4 goals a game
    • 24 JanNewport City1 – 2llanelli AFC
    • 4 Octllanelli AFC2 – 3Newport City

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals60.9% · 1.5339.1% · 2.38

    Double chance

    1X44.8%
    X255.2%

    Match result

    llanelli AFC2.5
    Draw3.3
    Newport City2.4

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance44.8%
    Odds1.6

    X2

    Chance55.2%
    Odds1.3

    llanelli AFC

    Chance35.7%
    Odds2.5

    Draw

    Chance27.1%
    Odds3.3

    Newport City

    Chance37.2%
    Odds2.4

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Newport City at 2.4

    llanelli AFCNewport City
    Recent form10%90%
    Attack34%66%
    Defence45%55%
    Goals model34%66%
    Head-to-head50%50%
    Overall49%51%

    Trends

    Trend · FAW Championship

    Newport City scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · FAW Championship

    Newport City conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · FAW Championship

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · FAW Championship

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    llanelli AFC vs Newport City: prediction & preview

    Wales · FAW Championship · Fri, 31 Jul 2026

    llanelli AFC meet Newport City in the Wales, FAW Championship on 31 July 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Newport City at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    llanelli AFC vs Newport City FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is llanelli AFC vs Newport City?

    Kickoff is 19:30 on 31 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on llanelli AFC vs Newport City?

    Newport City is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.2%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.