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Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · FAW ChampionshipSat, 28 Mar 2026

Llantwit Major

WLDLW

Sat, 28 Mar 202615:00

1 : 4

Full time

Caerau (Ely)

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

20.7%Llantwit Major22.4%Draw57%Caerau (Ely)

Our prediction

Caerau (Ely)

Caerau (Ely) is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.57
Confidence57%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Llantwit Major 20.7%
  • Draw 22.4%
  • Caerau (Ely) 57%

Season statistics

FAW Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Llantwit MajorCaerau (Ely)
Goals scored (avg)
1.12.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.21.5

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Llantwit Major3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 23 OctCaerau (Ely)0 – 2Llantwit MajorW
  • 17 OctTrefelin4 – 1Llantwit MajorL
  • 10 OctLlantwit Major1 – 1Pontardawe TownD
  • 6 OctPontypridd Town4 – 1Llantwit MajorL
  • 2 OctCarmarthen Town1 – 2Llantwit MajorW
Caerau (Ely)7W 0D 3L in last 10
  • 23 OctCaerau (Ely)0 – 2Llantwit MajorL
  • 16 OctCaerau (Ely)6 – 0llanelli AFCW
  • 10 OctAberystwyth Town0 – 1Caerau (Ely)W
  • 2 OctCaerau (Ely)2 – 0Afan LidoW
  • 26 SeptCardiff Draconians1 – 3Caerau (Ely)W
H2H
Head to headLlantwit Major 3W · 2D · Caerau (Ely) 2W · 3.3 goals a game
  • 23 OctCaerau (Ely)0 – 2Llantwit Major
  • 12 SeptCaerau (Ely)0 – 0Llantwit Major
  • 5 AprLlantwit Major1 – 0Caerau (Ely)
  • 7 FebCaerau (Ely)2 – 4Llantwit Major
  • 2 FebCaerau (Ely)3 – 2Llantwit Major
  • 30 SeptLlantwit Major1 – 4Caerau (Ely)

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals58.1% · 1.6241.9% · 2.25

Double chance

1X34.7%
X265.3%

Match result

Llantwit Major4.33
Draw4
Caerau (Ely)1.57

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance34.7%
Odds2.15

X2

Chance65.3%
Odds1.14

Llantwit Major

Chance20.7%
Odds4.33

Draw

Chance22.4%
Odds4

Caerau (Ely)

Chance57%
Odds1.57

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Caerau (Ely) at 1.57

Llantwit MajorCaerau (Ely)
Recent form34%66%
Attack31%69%
Defence35%65%
Goals model31%69%
Head-to-head57%43%
Overall27%73%

Trends

Trend · FAW Championship

Llantwit Major scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · FAW Championship

Llantwit Major conceded 2.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · FAW Championship

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · FAW Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely): prediction & preview

Wales · FAW Championship · Sat, 28 Mar 2026

Llantwit Major meet Caerau (Ely) in the Wales, FAW Championship on 28 March 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Caerau (Ely) at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely) FAQs

4 questions

What time is Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely)?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 28 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely)?

Caerau (Ely) is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 57%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.