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Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Bulgaria · First LeagueSat, 21 Feb 2026

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

DWWWL

Sat, 21 Feb 202614:00

1 : 1

Full time

Spartak Varna

DDLLL

Pre-match win probability

62.1%Lokomotiv Plovdiv24.5%Draw13.3%Spartak Varna

Our prediction

Home · Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence62.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv 62.1%
  • Draw 24.5%
  • Spartak Varna 13.3%

Season statistics

First League · highlighted side is stronger

Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes39.1%
No60.9%

Double chance

1X69.4%
X230.6%

Match result

Lokomotiv Plovdiv1.5
Draw3.8
Spartak Varna7

Both teams to score

Yes39.1% · 2.38
No60.9% · 1.53

1X

Chance69.4%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance30.6%
Odds2.5

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Chance62.1%
Odds1.5

Draw

Chance24.5%
Odds3.8

Spartak Varna

Chance13.3%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.5

Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall82%18%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna: prediction & preview

Bulgaria · First League · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Lokomotiv Plovdiv meet Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria, First League on 21 February 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 62.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.38. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna prediction, H2H and stats