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Lorient vs Marseille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sat, 18 Apr 2026

Lorient

9th in table · 45 pts

DLWWD

Sat, 18 Apr 202616:00

2 : 0

Full time

Marseille

5th in table · 59 pts

WLLWW

Pre-match win probability

21%Lorient22.5%Draw56.5%Marseille

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Lorient

Lorient vs Marseille listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence56.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lorient 21%
  • Draw 22.5%
  • Marseille 56.5%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LorientMarseille
Goals scored (avg)
0.9–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.2–
Wins
1118
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lorient3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctAngers0 – 0LorientD
  • 18 OctLorient1 – 0MonacoW
  • 10 OctLorient1 – 0Paris FCW
  • 19 SeptLe Mans2 – 1LorientL
  • 12 SeptLorient2 – 2ToulouseD
Marseille0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headLorient 0W · 1D · Marseille 8W · 3.6 goals a game
    • 12 SeptMarseille4 – 0Lorient
    • 12 MayMarseille3 – 1Lorient
    • 10 DecLorient2 – 4Marseille
    • 9 AprLorient0 – 0Marseille
    • 14 JanMarseille3 – 1Lorient
    • 8 MayLorient0 – 3Marseille

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
    1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
    2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
    3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7%
    No44.3%

    Double chance

    1X35.4%
    X264.6%

    Match result

    Lorient4.5
    Draw4.2
    Marseille1.67

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7% · 1.67
    No44.3% · 2.1

    1X

    Chance35.4%
    Odds2.15

    X2

    Chance64.6%
    Odds1.18

    Lorient

    Chance21%
    Odds4.5

    Draw

    Chance22.5%
    Odds4.2

    Marseille

    Chance56.5%
    Odds1.67

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.18

    LorientMarseille
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack47%53%
    Defence64%36%
    Goals model47%53%
    Head-to-head6%94%
    Overall27%73%

    Trends

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Lorient scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Lorient conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

    Lorient vs Marseille: prediction & preview

    France · Ligue 1 · Sat, 18 Apr 2026

    Lorient meet Marseille in the France, Ligue 1 on 18 April 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Marseille at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Lorient vs Marseille FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Lorient vs Marseille?

    Kickoff is 16:00 on 18 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Lorient vs Marseille?

    Marseille is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.