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Lorient vs Monaco Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Lorient

9th in table · 12 pts

WDLWD

Sun, 18 Oct 202616:15

1 : 0

Full time

Monaco

4th in table · 15 pts

WDWWD

Pre-match win probability

27.3%Lorient27.3%Draw45.5%Monaco

Our prediction

Monaco

Monaco is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence45.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lorient 27.3%
  • Draw 27.3%
  • Monaco 45.5%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LorientMonaco
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.30.8
Wins
34
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lorient2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 25 OctAngers0 – 0LorientD
  • 10 OctLorient1 – 0Paris FCW
  • 19 SeptLe Mans2 – 1LorientL
  • 12 SeptLorient2 – 2ToulouseD
  • 5 SeptLens0 – 1LorientW
Monaco6W 3D 0L in last 9
  • 25 OctMonaco1 – 1LilleD
  • 22 OctMonaco3 – 0SC FreiburgW
  • 15 OctCSKA Sofia1 – 2MonacoW
  • 10 OctMonaco2 – 2ToulouseD
  • 3 OctMonaco2 – 0PisaW
H2H
Head to headLorient 3W · 5D · Monaco 1W · 3.2 goals a game
  • 16 JanMonaco1 – 3Lorient
  • 27 SeptLorient3 – 1Monaco
  • 17 MarMonaco2 – 2Lorient
  • 17 SeptLorient2 – 2Monaco
  • 16 AprMonaco3 – 1Lorient
  • 11 JanLorient2 – 2Monaco

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7% · 3.418% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X42.5%
X257.5%

Match result

Lorient3.5
Draw3.5
Monaco2.1

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance42.5%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance57.5%
Odds1.28

Lorient

Chance27.3%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance27.3%
Odds3.5

Monaco

Chance45.5%
Odds2.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Monaco at 2.1

LorientMonaco
Recent form30%70%
Attack32%68%
Defence44%56%
Goals model32%68%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall38%62%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Lorient scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Lorient conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Lorient vs Monaco: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Lorient meet Monaco in the France, Ligue 1 on 18 October 2026 at 16:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Monaco at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lorient vs Monaco FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lorient vs Monaco?

Kickoff is 16:15 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lorient vs Monaco?

Monaco is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.