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Lorient vs Toulouse Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Lorient

9th in table · 12 pts

WLDLL

Sat, 12 Sept 202619:45

2 : 2

Full time

Toulouse

11th in table · 10 pts

WLDWD

Pre-match win probability

41%Lorient28.6%Draw30.4%Toulouse

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Lorient

Lorient vs Toulouse listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence41%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lorient 41%
  • Draw 28.6%
  • Toulouse 30.4%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · highlighted side is stronger

LorientToulouse
Goals scored (avg)
–1.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.6
Wins
32
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lorient0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Toulouse2W 3D 4L in last 9
    • 25 OctToulouse0 – 0Estac TroyesD
    • 16 OctLe Mans0 – 3ToulouseW
    • 10 OctMonaco2 – 2ToulouseD
    • 3 OctToulouse2 – 3PAUL
    • 19 SeptToulouse3 – 2Le HavreW
    H2H
    Head to headLorient 1W · 4D · Toulouse 4W · 2.3 goals a game
    • 21 MarToulouse1 – 0Lorient
    • 9 NovLorient1 – 1Toulouse
    • 28 AprLorient1 – 2Toulouse
    • 3 DecToulouse1 – 1Lorient
    • 23 AprLorient0 – 1Toulouse
    • 21 AugToulouse2 – 2Lorient

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
    1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
    2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
    3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7%
    No44.3%

    Double chance

    1X52.9%
    X247.1%

    Match result

    Lorient2.3
    Draw3.3
    Toulouse3.1

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7% · 1.67
    No44.3% · 2.1

    1X

    Chance52.9%
    Odds1.36

    X2

    Chance47.1%
    Odds1.53

    Lorient

    Chance41%
    Odds2.3

    Draw

    Chance28.6%
    Odds3.3

    Toulouse

    Chance30.4%
    Odds3.1

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.53

    LorientToulouse
    Recent form10%90%
    Attack42%58%
    Defence42%58%
    Goals model42%58%
    Head-to-head33%67%
    Overall57%43%

    Trends

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Toulouse scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Toulouse conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Ligue 1

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Lorient vs Toulouse: prediction & preview

    France · Ligue 1 · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

    Lorient meet Toulouse in the France, Ligue 1 on 12 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lorient at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Lorient vs Toulouse FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Lorient vs Toulouse?

    Kickoff is 19:45 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Lorient vs Toulouse?

    Lorient is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.