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Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONCACAF Champions LeagueThu, 16 Apr 2026

Los Angeles Galaxy

WLLDW

Thu, 16 Apr 202602:00

0 : 3

Full time

Toluca

WWL

Pre-match win probability

36.5%Los Angeles Galaxy26.3%Draw37.2%Toluca

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence37.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Los Angeles Galaxy 36.5%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Toluca 37.2%

Season statistics

CONCACAF Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

Los Angeles GalaxyToluca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals14.8% · 1.610.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Los Angeles Galaxy2.6
Draw3.6
Toluca2.55

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.4

Los Angeles Galaxy

Chance36.5%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Toluca

Chance37.2%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.4

Los Angeles GalaxyToluca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall50%50%

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca: prediction & preview

World · CONCACAF Champions League · Thu, 16 Apr 2026

Los Angeles Galaxy meet Toluca in the World, CONCACAF Champions League on 16 April 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 16 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Toluca prediction, H2H and stats