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Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 15 Jun 2025

Louisville City

Sun, 15 Jun 202501:00

4 : 2

Full time

Birmingham Legion

Pre-match win probability

70%Louisville City18.5%Draw11.5%Birmingham Legion

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Louisville City

Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion listed tip from the board.

Odds1.04
Confidence70%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Louisville City 70%
  • Draw 18.5%
  • Birmingham Legion 11.5%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Louisville CityBirmingham Legion

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.021.7% · 13.3
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.145.2% · 4.45
2.5 goals14.9% · 1.5510% · 2.31
3.5 goals10% · 2.315.5% · 1.49

Both teams to score

Yes51.3%
No48.7%

Double chance

1X74.8%
X225.2%

Match result

Louisville City1.32
Draw5
Birmingham Legion8

Both teams to score

Yes51.3% · 1.83
No48.7% · 1.93

1X

Chance74.8%
Odds1.04

X2

Chance25.2%
Odds3.08

Louisville City

Chance70%
Odds1.32

Draw

Chance18.5%
Odds5

Birmingham Legion

Chance11.5%
Odds8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.04

Louisville CityBirmingham Legion
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall86%14%

Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 15 Jun 2025

Louisville City meet Birmingham Legion in the USA, USL Championship on 15 June 2025 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Louisville City at 1.32. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 70% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.55, about 59.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion FAQs

4 questions

What time is Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 15 June 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion?

Louisville City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.32. The margin-adjusted share is about 70%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.55 and under 2.5 is 2.31.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion prediction, H2H and stats