Get Premium

Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipThu, 30 Jul 2026

Louisville City

WLWWD

Thu, 30 Jul 202600:30

2 : 1

Full time

Birmingham Legion

DWDLD

Pre-match win probability

64.9%Louisville City21.3%Draw13.8%Birmingham Legion

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Louisville City

Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion listed tip from the board.

Odds1.07
Confidence64.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Louisville City 64.9%
  • Draw 21.3%
  • Birmingham Legion 13.8%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Louisville CityBirmingham Legion

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.022.2% · 10.5
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
3.5 goals10.3% · 2.2514.8% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X72%
X228%

Match result

Louisville City1.38
Draw4.2
Birmingham Legion6.5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance72%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance28%
Odds2.75

Louisville City

Chance64.9%
Odds1.38

Draw

Chance21.3%
Odds4.2

Birmingham Legion

Chance13.8%
Odds6.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.07

Louisville CityBirmingham Legion
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall82%18%

Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Thu, 30 Jul 2026

Louisville City meet Birmingham Legion in the USA, USL Championship on 30 July 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Louisville City at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion FAQs

4 questions

What time is Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 30 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion?

Louisville City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 64.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion prediction, H2H and stats