Louisville City vs Lexington Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Louisville City

WDDWD

Sun, 12 Jul 202601:00

4 : 2

Full time

Lexington

WDWDW

Pre-match win probability

51.3%Louisville City23%Draw25.7%Lexington

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Louisville City

Louisville City vs Lexington listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence51.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Louisville City 51.3%
  • Draw 23%
  • Lexington 25.7%

Season statistics

USL League One Cup · highlighted side is stronger

Louisville CityLexington

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals60.9% · 1.5339.1% · 2.38

Double chance

1X61%
X239%

Match result

Louisville City1.75
Draw3.9
Lexington3.5

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance61%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance39%
Odds1.91

Louisville City

Chance51.3%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance23%
Odds3.9

Lexington

Chance25.7%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.22

Louisville CityLexington
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall67%33%

Louisville City vs Lexington: prediction & preview

USA · USL League One Cup · Sun, 12 Jul 2026

Louisville City meet Lexington in the USA, USL League One Cup on 12 July 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Louisville City at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Louisville City vs Lexington FAQs

4 questions

What time is Louisville City vs Lexington?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 12 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Louisville City vs Lexington?

Louisville City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Louisville City vs Lexington prediction, H2H and stats