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Louisville City vs Miami FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSat, 14 Mar 2026

Louisville City

Sat, 14 Mar 202621:00

4 : 1

Full time

Miami FC

Pre-match win probability

63.6%Louisville City22%Draw14.4%Miami FC

Our prediction

Louisville City

Louisville City is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.42
Confidence63.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Louisville City 63.6%
  • Draw 22%
  • Miami FC 14.4%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Louisville CityMiami FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7311.2% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X70.7%
X229.3%

Match result

Louisville City1.42
Draw4.1
Miami FC6.25

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance70.7%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance29.3%
Odds2.6

Louisville City

Chance63.6%
Odds1.42

Draw

Chance22%
Odds4.1

Miami FC

Chance14.4%
Odds6.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Louisville City at 1.42

Louisville CityMiami FC
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall82%18%

Louisville City vs Miami FC: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sat, 14 Mar 2026

Louisville City meet Miami FC in the USA, USL Championship on 14 March 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Louisville City at 1.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Louisville City vs Miami FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is Louisville City vs Miami FC?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 14 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Louisville City vs Miami FC?

Louisville City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 63.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.