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Louisville City vs Sporting JAX Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSat, 18 Apr 2026

Louisville City

4th in table · 47 pts

WWWWD

Sat, 18 Apr 202622:00

1 : 0

Full time

Sporting JAX

13th in table · 14 pts

LLLLD

Pre-match win probability

78.3%Louisville City14.7%Draw7%Sporting JAX

Our prediction

Home · Louisville City

Louisville City vs Sporting JAX listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence78.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Louisville City 78.3%
  • Draw 14.7%
  • Sporting JAX 7%

Season statistics

USL Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Louisville CitySporting JAX
Goals scored (avg)
1.5–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.7–
Wins
133
Played
3030

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Louisville City5W 4D 1L in last 10
  • 25 OctLouisville City0 – 0Detroit CityD
  • 22 OctSporting JAX0 – 2Louisville CityW
  • 18 OctLouisville City4 – 1Indy ElevenW
  • 10 OctCharleston Battery0 – 2Louisville CityW
  • 4 OctHartford Athletic0 – 1Louisville CityW
Sporting JAX0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headLouisville City 1W · 0D · Sporting JAX 0W · 2 goals a game
    • 22 OctSporting JAX0 – 2Louisville City

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.8% · 1.022.1% · 11
    1.5 goals20.4% · 1.144.7% · 5
    2.5 goals16.2% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
    3.5 goals11.1% · 2.113.9% · 1.67

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4%
    No57.6%

    Double chance

    1X81.7%
    X218.3%

    Match result

    Louisville City1.17
    Draw6.25
    Sporting JAX13

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4% · 2.2
    No57.6% · 1.62

    1X

    Chance81.7%
    Odds1.01

    X2

    Chance18.3%
    Odds4.5

    Louisville City

    Chance78.3%
    Odds1.17

    Draw

    Chance14.7%
    Odds6.25

    Sporting JAX

    Chance7%
    Odds13

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home at 1.17

    Louisville CitySporting JAX
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack60%40%
    Defence70%30%
    Goals model60%40%
    Head-to-head100%0%
    Overall92%8%

    Trends

    Trend · USL Championship

    Louisville City scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · USL Championship

    Louisville City conceded 0.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · USL Championship

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · USL Championship

    Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

    Louisville City vs Sporting JAX: prediction & preview

    USA · USL Championship · Sat, 18 Apr 2026

    Louisville City meet Sporting JAX in the USA, USL Championship on 18 April 2026 at 22:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Louisville City at 1.17. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 78.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Louisville City vs Sporting JAX FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Louisville City vs Sporting JAX?

    Kickoff is 22:00 on 18 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Louisville City vs Sporting JAX?

    Louisville City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.17. The margin-adjusted share is about 78.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.