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Lugo vs Mérida AD Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sun, 1 Nov 2026

Lugo

Sun, 1 Nov 202618:45

vs

Not started

Mérida AD

Pre-match win probability

41.1%Lugo29.5%Draw29.5%Mérida AD

Our prediction

Lugo

Lugo is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence41.1%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lugo 41.1%
  • Draw 29.5%
  • Mérida AD 29.5%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

LugoMérida AD

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.0813.6% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes52.2%
No47.8%

Double chance

1X36%
1235.2%
X228.9%

Match result

Lugo2.15
Draw3
Mérida AD3

Both teams to score

Yes52.2% · 1.75
No47.8% · 1.91

1X

Chance36%
Odds1.3

12

Chance35.2%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance28.9%
Odds1.62

Lugo

Chance41.1%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance29.5%
Odds3

Mérida AD

Chance29.5%
Odds3

First half result

Lugo32.9% · 2.7
Draw42.4% · 2.1
Mérida AD24.7% · 3.6

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.36

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Lugo at 2.15

LugoMérida AD
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Lugo vs Mérida AD: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sun, 1 Nov 2026

Lugo meet Mérida AD in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 1 November 2026 at 18:45 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lugo at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lugo vs Mérida AD FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lugo vs Mérida AD?

Kickoff is 18:45 on 1 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lugo vs Mérida AD?

Lugo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lugo vs Mérida AD prediction, H2H and stats