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Lugo vs Ourense CF Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sun, 21 Dec 2025

Lugo

DDLWD

Sun, 21 Dec 202516:15

2 : 1

Full time

Ourense CF

DDLWW

Pre-match win probability

45.3%Lugo31.5%Draw23.2%Ourense CF

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Lugo

Lugo vs Ourense CF listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence45.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lugo 45.3%
  • Draw 31.5%
  • Ourense CF 23.2%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

LugoOurense CF

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.5% · 1.144.7% · 5
1.5 goals14.4% · 1.6210.6% · 2.2
2.5 goals7.8% · 317.2% · 1.36
3.5 goals3.9% · 621% · 1.11

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X58.6%
X241.4%

Match result

Lugo2
Draw2.88
Ourense CF3.9

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance58.6%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance41.4%
Odds1.67

Lugo

Chance45.3%
Odds2

Draw

Chance31.5%
Odds2.88

Ourense CF

Chance23.2%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.67

LugoOurense CF
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Lugo vs Ourense CF: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sun, 21 Dec 2025

Lugo meet Ourense CF in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 21 December 2025 at 16:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lugo at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.36, about 68.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lugo vs Ourense CF FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lugo vs Ourense CF?

Kickoff is 16:15 on 21 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lugo vs Ourense CF?

Lugo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 3 and under 2.5 is 1.36.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lugo vs Ourense CF prediction, H2H and stats