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Lugo vs Ponferradina Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sun, 1 Feb 2026

Lugo

WLWWW

Sun, 1 Feb 202618:15

0 : 2

Full time

Ponferradina

WWWLL

Pre-match win probability

42.4%Lugo30.7%Draw27%Ponferradina

Our prediction

Home · Lugo

Lugo vs Ponferradina listed tip from the board.

Odds2.1
Confidence42.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lugo 42.4%
  • Draw 30.7%
  • Ponferradina 27%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

LugoPonferradina

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.6% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.6% · 1.5
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.520% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X56.1%
X243.9%

Match result

Lugo2.1
Draw2.9
Ponferradina3.3

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance56.1%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance43.9%
Odds1.6

Lugo

Chance42.4%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance30.7%
Odds2.9

Ponferradina

Chance27%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.1

LugoPonferradina
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall61%39%

Lugo vs Ponferradina: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sun, 1 Feb 2026

Lugo meet Ponferradina in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 1 February 2026 at 18:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lugo at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lugo vs Ponferradina FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lugo vs Ponferradina?

Kickoff is 18:15 on 1 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lugo vs Ponferradina?

Lugo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lugo vs Ponferradina prediction, H2H and stats