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Lugo vs UD Logroñés Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Mon, 12 Oct 2026

Lugo

WWWWD

Mon, 12 Oct 202619:30

3 : 1

Full time

UD Logroñés

WWDWW

Pre-match win probability

37.6%Lugo29.1%Draw33.4%UD Logroñés

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Lugo

Lugo vs UD Logroñés listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence37.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lugo 37.6%
  • Draw 29.1%
  • UD Logroñés 33.4%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

LugoUD Logroñés

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.4% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.2% · 3.2517.7% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X51.4%
X248.6%

Match result

Lugo2.4
Draw3.1
UD Logroñés2.7

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance51.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance48.6%
Odds1.44

Lugo

Chance37.6%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance29.1%
Odds3.1

UD Logroñés

Chance33.4%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.36

LugoUD Logroñés
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall53%47%

Lugo vs UD Logroñés: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Mon, 12 Oct 2026

Lugo meet UD Logroñés in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 12 October 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lugo at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lugo vs UD Logroñés FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lugo vs UD Logroñés?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 12 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lugo vs UD Logroñés?

Lugo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lugo vs UD Logroñés prediction, H2H and stats