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Lusitânia Lourosa vs Chaves Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSun, 11 Oct 2026

Lusitânia Lourosa

Sun, 11 Oct 202611:00

1 : 1

Full time

Chaves

Pre-match win probability

42.3%Lusitânia Lourosa28.4%Draw29.3%Chaves

Our prediction

Lusitânia Lourosa

Lusitânia Lourosa is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence42.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lusitânia Lourosa 42.3%
  • Draw 28.4%
  • Chaves 29.3%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Lusitânia LourosaChaves

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Lusitânia Lourosa2.15
Draw3.2
Chaves3.1

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

Lusitânia Lourosa

Chance42.3%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance28.4%
Odds3.2

Chaves

Chance29.3%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Lusitânia Lourosa at 2.15

Lusitânia LourosaChaves
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Lusitânia Lourosa vs Chaves: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Lusitânia Lourosa meet Chaves in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lusitânia Lourosa at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lusitânia Lourosa vs Chaves FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lusitânia Lourosa vs Chaves?

Kickoff is 11:00 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lusitânia Lourosa vs Chaves?

Lusitânia Lourosa is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Lusitânia Lourosa vs Chaves prediction, H2H and stats