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Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Liga 3Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Lusitano Évora 1911

5th in table · 22 pts

LLDLD

Sun, 4 Jan 202616:00

2 : 1

Full time

SC Covilha

10th in table · 14 pts

DLDDD

Pre-match win probability

52.8%Lusitano Évora 191127.2%Draw20%SC Covilha

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Lusitano Évora 1911

Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence52.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lusitano Évora 1911 52.8%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • SC Covilha 20%

Season statistics

Liga 3 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Lusitano Évora 1911SC Covilha
Goals scored (avg)
0.80.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.40.9
Wins
62
Played
1818

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lusitano Évora 19111W 4D 5L in last 10
  • 24 OctLusitano Évora 19112 – 2OliveirenseD
  • 9 OctUnião Santarém3 – 0Lusitano Évora 1911L
  • 12 SeptLusitano Évora 19112 – 2SC CovilhaD
  • 6 SeptLouletano1 – 0Lusitano Évora 1911L
  • 30 AugLusitano Évora 19111 – 2CF Os BelenensesL
SC Covilha1W 7D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctCF Os Belenenses1 – 1SC CovilhaD
  • 10 OctSC Covilha0 – 0OliveirenseD
  • 12 SeptLusitano Évora 19112 – 2SC CovilhaD
  • 5 SeptMafra1 – 0SC CovilhaL
  • 30 AugSC Covilha0 – 0MortáguaD
H2H
Head to headLusitano Évora 1911 3W · 3D · SC Covilha 0W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 12 SeptLusitano Évora 19112 – 2SC Covilha
  • 18 AprLusitano Évora 19111 – 0SC Covilha
  • 14 MarSC Covilha1 – 3Lusitano Évora 1911
  • 22 NovSC Covilha0 – 2Lusitano Évora 1911
  • 28 SeptSC Covilha1 – 1Lusitano Évora 1911
  • 24 SeptLusitano Évora 19110 – 0SC Covilha

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals43.7% · 2.1556.3% · 1.67

Double chance

1X63.5%
X236.5%

Match result

Lusitano Évora 19111.7
Draw3.3
SC Covilha4.5

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance63.5%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance36.5%
Odds1.95

Lusitano Évora 1911

Chance52.8%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.3

SC Covilha

Chance20%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.12

Lusitano Évora 1911SC Covilha
Recent form41%59%
Attack53%47%
Defence43%57%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall73%27%

Trends

Trend · Liga 3

Lusitano Évora 1911 scored 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga 3

Lusitano Évora 1911 conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga 3

Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

Trend · Liga 3

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha: prediction & preview

Portugal · Liga 3 · Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Lusitano Évora 1911 meet SC Covilha in the Portugal, Liga 3 on 4 January 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lusitano Évora 1911 at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 4 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha?

Lusitano Évora 1911 is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.