Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Liga 3Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Lusitano Évora 1911

9th in table · 6 pts

WLLLD

Sat, 12 Sept 202617:00

2 : 2

Full time

SC Covilha

8th in table · 7 pts

LDLDD

Pre-match win probability

51.7%Lusitano Évora 191127.4%Draw20.9%SC Covilha

Our prediction

Lusitano Évora 1911

Lusitano Évora 1911 is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.75
Confidence51.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lusitano Évora 1911 51.7%
  • Draw 27.4%
  • SC Covilha 20.9%

Season statistics

Liga 3 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Lusitano Évora 1911SC Covilha
Goals scored (avg)
0.70.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.30.8
Wins
11
Played
77

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lusitano Évora 19111W 3D 5L in last 9
  • 24 OctLusitano Évora 19112 – 2OliveirenseD
  • 9 OctUnião Santarém3 – 0Lusitano Évora 1911L
  • 6 SeptLouletano1 – 0Lusitano Évora 1911L
  • 30 AugLusitano Évora 19111 – 2CF Os BelenensesL
  • 22 AugLusitano Évora 19112 – 1MafraW
SC Covilha1W 6D 2L in last 9
  • 25 OctCF Os Belenenses1 – 1SC CovilhaD
  • 10 OctSC Covilha0 – 0OliveirenseD
  • 5 SeptMafra1 – 0SC CovilhaL
  • 30 AugSC Covilha0 – 0MortáguaD
  • 22 AugSC Covilha0 – 3Atlético CPL
H2H
Head to headLusitano Évora 1911 4W · 2D · SC Covilha 0W · 2 goals a game
  • 18 AprLusitano Évora 19111 – 0SC Covilha
  • 14 MarSC Covilha1 – 3Lusitano Évora 1911
  • 4 JanLusitano Évora 19112 – 1SC Covilha
  • 22 NovSC Covilha0 – 2Lusitano Évora 1911
  • 28 SeptSC Covilha1 – 1Lusitano Évora 1911
  • 24 SeptLusitano Évora 19110 – 0SC Covilha

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals40.1% · 2.3559.9% · 1.57

Double chance

1X63.5%
X236.5%

Match result

Lusitano Évora 19111.75
Draw3.3
SC Covilha4.33

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance63.5%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance36.5%
Odds1.95

Lusitano Évora 1911

Chance51.7%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance27.4%
Odds3.3

SC Covilha

Chance20.9%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Lusitano Évora 1911 at 1.75

Lusitano Évora 1911SC Covilha
Recent form40%60%
Attack54%46%
Defence44%56%
Goals model54%46%
Head-to-head83%17%
Overall71%29%

Trends

Trend · Liga 3

Lusitano Évora 1911 scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga 3

Lusitano Évora 1911 conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga 3

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · Liga 3

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha: prediction & preview

Portugal · Liga 3 · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Lusitano Évora 1911 meet SC Covilha in the Portugal, Liga 3 on 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lusitano Évora 1911 at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha FAQs

4 questions

What time is Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha?

Lusitano Évora 1911 is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.